By Doug Palmer
WASHINGTON, March 28 (Reuters) - Two leading U.S.
Senate critics of China's currency policy said on
Wednesday they expected Congress to pass a
"veto-proof" bill forcing Beijing to raise
the value of its yuan <CNY=>us;CNY
against the dollar.
Sen. Charles Schumer, a New York Democrat, told
reporters the bill would be carefully crafted to abide
by World Trade Organization rules while forcing
"the Chinese to do something they won't do on
their own."
Schumer and Sen. Lindsey Graham, a South Carolina
Republican, testified before the Senate Finance
Committee on what they see as the need for legislation
to force China to allow a greater appreciation in the
yuan.
Schumer told reporters it was clear Congress could
not rely on the Bush administration to get China to
move.
"Well-crafted legislation -- WTO-compliant and
strong and effective -- is likely to pass with a
veto-proof margin during this Congress," Schumer
told the panel. "That's the message I hope the
Chinese and the Bush administration take away from
this hearing."
The bill would have to have two-thirds support in
both the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate
to protect it against a veto by President George W.
Bush, as that is how many votes are required for
Congress to override a presidential veto.
Schumer and Graham pushed legislation through much
of 2005 and 2006 threatening to impose a 27.5 percent
tariff on imports from China unless that country took
steps to significantly raise the value of its currency
against the dollar.
Many lawmakers and manufacturers believe the
Chinese yuan is undervalued by up to 40 percent,
giving Chinese companies an unfair price advantage in
international trade.
Schumer and Graham abandoned their bill after
agreeing to work this year with Senate Finance
Committee Chairman Max Baucus, a Montana Democrat, and
former committee Chairman Charles Grassley, an Iowa
Republican, on joint legislation.
"Today's hearing showed that China must change
its currency regime, and it is capable of doing so.
Failing to accelerate exchange rate reform is bad for
China, bad for America and bad for the global
economy," Baucus said after the hearing.
Stephen Roach, chief economist at Morgan Stanley,
told the panel that China should gradually move to a
freely floating currency at a rate of 3 percent to 5
percent per year.
But Chinese currency reform by itself will not fix
the massive U.S. trade deficit which is driven by
other factors, such as the low U.S. savings rate,
Roach said.
Morris Goldstein, a senior fellow at the Peterson
Institute for International Economics, said China
should immediately raise the value of its currency by
10-15 percent as a "down payment" toward
further reform.
The U.S. Treasury Department also should formally
label China as a "currency manipulator" in
its semi-annual currency report, which would make
clear the United States' desire for faster action on
the issue, Goldstein said.
"The 6.5 percent appreciation of the RMB (renminbi)
against the U.S. dollar since June 2005 has not even
been sufficient to halt the cumulative improvement in
China's competitiveness over the 2002-2007 period --
much less to make a real dent in China's huge external
surplus," he said.
Graham told reporters the senators were working
with the Bush administration to get them to be more
aggressive. Asked if he thought U.S. Treasury
Secretary Henry Paulson's strategic economic dialogue
with China was yielding any results on currency
reform, he answered "no."
"The goal ... is to get the administration off
the sidelines, quit playing referee and become an
advocate" for fairer trade with the Chinese,
Graham said.
There is a consensus among both Republican and
Democratic lawmakers that China's currency practices
are having a "devastating" impact on U.S.
manufacturers, he said.
Schumer was more critical of Bush administration
efforts to prod China on the currency issue.
"I think it's pretty clear that we've given up
on the administration. Secretary Paulson is a good
man, but he's climbing up the same mountain that
everyone else did, which is a lot of nice talk and not
much action," Schumer said.
Neither senator offered any details on how their
bill would confront China's currency regime. They said
they would meet with U.S. Treasury officials in April
to get their views and craft legislation over the next
several months.